7) The bias in your forecast keeps you from hitting your targets
As a CRO, you have to be confident about your forecast, even though many factors play against you: Your qualitative forecasts are based on static reports, the subjective assessment of your managers, and rarely factor in historical performance. In short: There is all sorts of mixed incentives and human bias involved. Your sales reps might hold back certain details in their 1:1s to seal the deal themselves for example. Your Sales RVPs might massage some of their less-engaged opportunities or simply overestimate their probability to close.
Especially in large B2B organizations, your hierarchic forecasting has so many levels that valuable intel on your opportunities gets completely lost along the way. The result: It’s hard for you to detect potential risks early enough to actually do something about them, and there’s little to no visibility into forecast deviations.
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And even if you’re already using a more data-driven approach, your current tools don’t take the individual opportunity’s journey into account. They tend to simply aggregate your historic forecast data to predict how many deals you would close based on the same conditions. But every opportunity is different, and therefore every sales cycle is different. Historical performance can be a guide post, sure, but shouldn’t be your only one to stay on track.
Solution: Back up your sales forecast with data, not just wishful thinking
Don’t get me wrong: Forecasting calls are still valid. But you can augment your qualitative forecasting with data analysis and artificial intelligence. Some tools on the market already automate most of the legwork, generating the necessary reports to pull historical forecast data in just a few clicks.
The very best tools go even further: They rely on smart algorithms and engagement data to predict the next quarter’s revenue with a higher degree of accuracy. Combining technologies like Process Mining, AI, and Machine Learning, they analyze every single opportunity based on demographics, what journey it’s been on, what actions have been taken that lower or raise the probability of them to close.
By triangulating your deal-specificforecast with your past forecast accuracy and your subordinate’s qualitative forecast, these tools help you to automatically identify inconsistencies in your forecast, surface potential risks in deals that are likely to close, and take the right action thanks to next-best-action recommendations. That way, you can allocate your resources in descending order of opportunity size and probability of closing.
This is when forecasting transitions from “art” to real data-driven science.